Milton’s paradise lost? Part 4: Eleventh-hour attempt

October 22, 2014 | Affordable Housing, Boston, Chapter 40B, Cities, Development, Homeownership, Housing, Inclusionary zoning, Milton, Rental, Zoning | No comments 21 views

[Continued from yesterday's Part 3 and the preceding Part 1 and Part 2.]

By: David A. Smith

 “A mind not to be changed by place or time.”
John Milton, Paradise Lost

It might seem, to judge by the statement of Milton’s leaders, that the town’s shortage of affordable housing is due to forces beyond Milton’s control:

beyond_my_control

Practice the phrase; “It’s beyond my control”

However, as we saw yesterday, the town has at every stage adopted land-use and development rules to thwart affordable housing, density, rental housing, and indeed almost any kind of change.

Sources used in this post

Milton’s 2002 zoning map; pdf

Karen Sunnarborg housing study of Milton (February, 2006, pdf; green font)

Chapter 40B fact sheet, 2007; pdf

Boston Globe (June 21, 2012; deep purple font)

Massachusetts subsidized housing inventory (April, 2013; caramel font)

Boston Globe (March 22, 2013; powder-blue font)

MyTownMatters blog post (April 15, 2013; midnight blue font)

Canton Citizen (June 27, 2013; mumble font)

Boston Globe (August 21, 2013; olive font)

Boston Globe (October 31, 2013; pink font)

Canton Citizen, (November 14, 2013; red font)

Boston Globe (April 27, 2014; buff blue font)

Boston Globe (July 24, 2014; robin’s-egg-blue font)

Town of Milton draft housing production plan, September 25, 2014; pdf, orange font)

Boston Globe (September 11, 2014)

CHAPA’s Chapter 40B fact sheet, pdf

Many and varied are these obstacles to change, including an all-purpose builder-repellent.

developer_repellent

They’re attracted by the land

4.C. Wetlands and ‘the environment’

If one cannot stop a development with traffic, where the problem is too little infrastructure, stop the development with wetlands, where the problem is too much infrastructure:

– potential damage to the ecosystem of nearby Fowl Meadow — designated by the state as an Area of Critical Environmental Concern

fowl_meadow_purple_loosestrife_beetles

A volunteer beetle rancher releases purple loosestrife biocontrol beetles into Fowl Meadow

But what happens if the ambulances are forced to run over loosestrife beetles?

– particularly among neighbors and local environmental groups, including the Neponset River Watershed Association and the Friends of the Blue Hills.

neponset_river_course

Southwest to Northeast, ending in Boston Harbor

In terms of greenery, Milton is incredibly well favored by both the Neponset River and the Blue Hills Reservation. 

blue_hills_reservation_map

6,000 acres – 10 square miles – most of it in Milton

The Blue Hills represent a wonderful hiking/ walking recreational area for a score of towns around Boston’s South Shore, culminating in Great Blue Hill.

great_blue_hill_aerial

Great Blue Hill from the air

NYT2008111917473358C

The Boston skyline, from the top of Great Blue Hill

At Milton’s north is the Neponset, a wide stream with largely granite banks that for a portion of its course forms the border between Boston and Milton, including Boston’s Baker Chocolate Factory, a wonderful complicated historic-rehab affordable housing property developed by none other than ursine urban architect Bob Kuehn, about whom I wrote an obituary when he suddenly died in 2006.

dorchester_lower_mills

The Neponset at Dorchester Lower Mills: Baker Chocolate on the left, Milton on the right

NepRWA had hoped to persuade MassHousing to deny the project eligibility application, and while ultimately unsuccessful, the association “remains committed to opposing the project through the many steps of the permitting process which remain,” including the comprehensive permit review by the Milton ZBA and wetlands permitting before the Milton Conservation Commission.

lower_mills_from_space

Boston at left and up; Milton at right and below

The contrast between Boston and Milton is starkly illustrated by the Neponset River boundary; in the photo above, the large intersection is Mattapan Square, which is also the terminus of the Red Line’s Mattapan Extension line, and the leafy green below is Milton.

And even if it isn‘t green, maybe it’s scenic:

Canton Town Meeting next month will vote on whether to designate Hemenway Drive a scenic way, an eleventh-hour attempt by residents to slow or stop a large housing development just over the border in Milton.

Denise Swenson and her Hemenway Drive neighbors are seeking the new classification, which, if approved, would require Planning Board approval for certain changes to the street.

denise_swenson

Denise Swenson, checking her yard for Lyme disease ticks

Thomas Farmer, a spokesman for MassHousing, said that a scenic way designation is a matter for the local government, and would not affect the eligibility letter unless the developer made major changes to its proposal.

Thus Milton has well more than its share of free public amenities (paid with state funds, one should not, not local) – but if one starts from the premise that every bit of currently green space must be green forever, then nothing can ever be built except in places where it has already been built – and that leads to the next objection one can raise.

4.D. History

If one can’t stop a development on traffic, try the environment; if not the environment, try history.

Ms. Swenson has submitted an application to the US Department of the Interior to add Hemenway Drive to the National Register of Historic Places.

The mile-long private road, which connects to Brush Hill Road, has changed little since it was constructed as part of Blue Hill Farm, owned by Augustus and Harriet Hemenway dating back to 1882, according to the application.

entrance_to_70_hemenway_drive

The entrance to 70 Hemenway Drive in Canton

Mill Creek spokeswoman Margaret Murphy said the company had no comment.

The warrant article originated from the neighbors themselves, who began meeting weekly after the development was proposed more than one year ago, according to Swenson.

“As this proposed development came forward, all the neighbors came out with their treasure trove of information,” she said.

Funny how the road’s scenic or historic nature was unimportant until it could be used to argue against an affordable housing development.

4.E. Novelty objections

Residents in both Milton and Canton have objected to the density of the proposed development, which would be built under the state’s Chapter 40B affordable-housing law, and have said it would change the area’s rural character.

Once a group of people have decided they want to stop a development, there is seemingly no end to the reasons they can identify why everything must remain exactly as it is:

According to Comeau, state law enables a town to designate any road within its borders as a scenic way as long as it is not a state or federal numbered route. If the Town Meeting article is approved, any attempt to cut or remove trees or stone walls adjacent to the street would need Planning Board approval, he said.

The United Kingdom shows the consequences of letting anti-development preservation run amok – minimal building:

economist_map_london_builds

Skyrocketing home prices, housing unaffordability, labor immobility, and a stultifying economy.

house_prices_england

Increases in housing prices per year

Avril Elkort, vice chairwoman of Canton’s Board of Selectmen, who lives on a scenic way herself, said she believes that giving this designation to Hemenway Drive would make it more difficult to widen the road, which could be required for the development.

So these residents don’t want to ease traffic congestion; if the development were to go forward, they would want traffic to increase.

avril_elkort

Ms. Elkort receiving a Canton Spirit Award Recipient

All these neighbors want to control the use of property that they don’t own, in order to protect their lifestyle and the value of the property they do own.  Never once do they suggest using their own money to buy the property in question, nor do they offer any alternative solution to Milton’s affordable housing shortage.  They are content to oppose, not to propose.

Because the state agency that oversees implementation of the law has cleared Milton Mews to proceed, opponents face long odds in derailing it.

That doesn’t stop them from trying.

4.F. The death of a thousand cuts

As by now will not be surprising, not only had Milton opposed every single affordable housing development that I could find in the record, Milton also have been unable to develop a Housing Production Plan of its own.

MSDPOOF EC049

“I never did mind about the little things.”

Somehow, the devil was always in the details.

devil_detail

Hiding in plain sight

“It was little terms, little things, that seemed to make this thing somehow go off track,” said Alexander Whiteside, chairman of the Planning Board. “So it’s very frustrating seeing this 40B application go ahead, because it didn’t have to be like this.”

Mr. Whiteside, if my Googling is correct, lives in a house built in 1870 on a 15-acre lot.

alexander_whiteside

As Alexander Whiteside didn’t say to Milton:

“The developers could just never satisfy our infinite list of little things …”

Once a town kills as-of-right zoning, then the process has no mandatory resolution, which means it is infinitely protractible:

Two years is “on the high side” for a project to get through a municipal permitting process, according to Kingston’s planner, Thomas Bott , the regional representative in the state’s chapter of the American Planning Association.

But “there isn’t an average time,” Bott said. “We have had instances where somebody was in and out in two meetings, and we’ve had some that have dragged on for a year or more. It’s dependent on the project, the applicant, and, to some extent, the board. There are some boards who are more friendly to growth” than others.  “As we say in parenting and in government, it all depends,” he added.

tom_bott

“It all depends.”

For a developer, it all depends is a death knell, because it all depends means spending money, spending time, and never reaching action. 

In Milton, it’s four years plus and counting. 

[Continued tomorrow in Part 5.]

 

 

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Milton’s paradise lost? Part 3: Endanger seniors by delaying ambulances

October 21, 2014 | Affordable Housing, Boston, Chapter 40B, Cities, Development, Homeownership, Housing, Inclusionary zoning, Milton, Rental, Zoning | No comments 92 views

[Continued from yesterday's Part 2 and the preceding Part 1.]

By: David A. Smith

“What is dark within me, illumine.”
John Milton, Paradise Lost

Milton, as we’ve seen in preceding two parts, is a town where time – at least in the sense of real estate development – has largely stopped, though with the stasis of its built environment, three inexorable byproducts of Father Time are compelling slow change in its composition:

1. Aging of its population.

2. Obsolescence of its housing and real estate stock. 

3. Appreciation in value of its homes, coupled with rising income relative to its neighbors.

Sources used in this post

Milton’s 2002 zoning map; pdf

Karen Sunnarborg housing study of Milton (February, 2006, pdf; green font)

Chapter 40B fact sheet, 2007; pdf

Boston Globe (June 21, 2012; deep purple font)

Massachusetts subsidized housing inventory (April, 2013; caramel font)

Boston Globe (March 22, 2013; powder-blue font)

MyTownMatters blog post (April 15, 2013; midnight blue font)

Canton Citizen (June 27, 2013; mumble font)

Boston Globe (August 21, 2013; olive font)

Boston Globe (October 31, 2013; pink font)

Canton Citizen, (November 14, 2013; red font)

Boston Globe (April 27, 2014; buff blue font)

Boston Globe (July 24, 2014; robin’s-egg-blue font)

Town of Milton draft housing production plan, September 25, 2014; pdf, orange font)

Boston Globe (September 11, 2014)

CHAPA’s Chapter 40B fact sheet, pdf

Slowly, gently, and perhaps unthinkingly, Milton is squeezing out its poorer citizens:

An estimated 350 households [Out of 9,650 possible, or 4% -- Ed.] would qualify as low-income by HUD’s definition, with incomes within 60% to 80% of area median income (AMI) and potentially qualifying for affordable homeownership.

Not only is the town losing poorer people, it’s losing out on younger people:

Demographic trends suggest that those in the child formation period of their lives are decreasing, likely related to the difficulty that younger families and workers face in finding housing they can afford in Milton. For example, those age 25 to 34 decreased from 13.4% to 7.2% of the total population between 1990 and 2011.

Without affordable housing, a town becomes demographically and economically exclusionary.  And without inclusionary zoning, a town falls short on affordable housing.

Younger people prefer to rent, and we’re not filling that demand,” said Selectman Tom Hurley. “What rental properties we have are mostly old two-family houses, which are not attractive to younger people.”

milton_household_income

Richer than its neighbors in every direction

The end state of that exclusivity is a population where all of ‘those people’ live somewhere else, which Milton has achieved, outstripping the median income of all its abutters, Norfolk County, and the state as a whole:

milton_norfolk_county

For historical reasons dating back 350 years, both Cohasset and Brookline are islands of Norfolk County surrounded by other counties

[Though Milton is in Norfolk County, Boston to its north is in Suffolk County: geographic niceties not being among the Pilgrims’ competencies – Ed.]

“The age gap is significant, and we’re losing out on generations of people unable to move in,” said Planning Board member Emily Innes.

Others encouraged officials to iron out the kinks in the planning outline sooner rather than later.

ironing_kinks

We’re ironing out the kinks now

In fact, that is clearly shown by the comparison of production over the last ten years:

milton_shi_inventory

Everybody else is growing … not Milton

Other than Braintree and Norwood (perhaps neighboring communities, but not abutters), both of which are laggards, the other communities found ways to do something rather than just talk about it.  Dedham, Needham, and Randolph all doubled their affordable housing quotient, even as Milton stayed constant.

Milton is a town that wants to live in the past – and has a cavalcade of excuses why it can’t live in the present.

4. The anti’s and their cavalcade of excuses

The anti-development coalition has a mutable and in some ways mutating capability to generate reasons, each of them facially plausible, why development should be rejected, conditioned, modified, delayed, studied … or any combination of those. 

parthenon_cavalcade

Reason after reason after reason why we can’t we can’t we can’t

Building permit activity for new dwellings has dwindled to less than 20 new units annually.

This for a town of 27,000 people.

This trend is not surprising in consideration of the limited amount of developable land and the high costs associated with new housing development as the costs per home are up substantially from an average of $186,650 in 1990, down to $170,500 in 1995, rebounding to $315,000 in 2001 and up to $475,000 in 2004.

It is a remarkable cavalcade, and because the Miltonians are so innovative and dedicated, its exploration could serve as a how-to guide for NIMBY’s everywhere.

4.A. Zoning and setbacks

Zoning, as I’ve posted many times, is a community’s first line of anti-development defense.  Anything that violates the zoning cannot be built, or if built can be forcibly demolished (provided the abutters persist).

74_bubier_road_marblehead_as_it_stood

74 Bubier Road, before it was torn down

74_bubier_road_gone

… and after

Thus Milton has comprehensively zoned itself to prevent growth:

Challenges: As is the case in most American communities, a zoning bylaw or ordinance is enacted to control the use of land including the patterns of housing development. Like most localities in the Commonwealth, Milton’s Zoning Bylaw provides for relatively low housing densities and constrains the construction of affordable housing. The Bylaw contains four principal residential districts and four special purpose districts, each with its own requirements as summarized in Table IV-1.

milton_zoning

If you don’t like acre lots, how about two-acre lots?

The Residential A requirements mean single-family dwellings on one-acre lots; AA puts that same manse on a two­-acre lot, and between them, A and AA encompass most of Milton. 

milton_zoning_map

All those A and AA acres are out of bounds to affordable housing

Residential C, one-quarter-acre lots with narrower street frontages (75 feet), essentially recognizes the facts on the ground, the existing very old neighborhoods that abut Boston’s Mattapan (to Milton’s north across the Neponset River) and Quincy (to Milton’s east) – areas already built out and with less potential for growth or large-scale development.

milton_zoning_map_legend

Residential C is the red-lined sections abut Boston (to the north) and Quincy (to the east)

A town that down-zones inoculates itself against any development, and thus shunts the affordable housing into other communities (such as Boston) – whereas the state has a public interest in distributing affordable housing broadly throughout all the communities.  Hence the public purpose of Chapter 40B: to enable the state (when proposed with a feasible pro-affordable-housing proposal) to override local zoning that is demonstrated to be exclusionary.

4.B. Traffic

In today’s publicly transparent arena, where anything that can be gaffed is instantly re-gaffed via Twitter, no one wants to be on the record as opposing affordable housing; instead it’s much simpler to oppose the means of affordable housing – such as transportation.  After all, if the people can’t get to our town from our wonderful town, that’s not a housing problem, is it?

not_my_problem

Naturally, the larger the development, the worse the traffic, as best seen by the large-scale property whose developer will be for Miltonians the personification of evil, and their future is ‘self-begot, self-raised’:

milton_satan

Self-begot, self-raised/

By our own quick’ning power

The proposed development, put forth by Texas-based Mill Creek Residential Trust, would add 276 rental units on a 22-acre parcel between Brush Hill Road and Hemenway Drive — a private country way off Green Street. Most of the development site is in Milton, but a small portion lies in Canton, and abutters from both communities have been outspoken in their opposition to the project.

Of course they’re outspoken NIMBY’s; they benefit from the lovely woods, and they have no reason to care about families who don’t live in Milton or Canton right now.

According to Mass Housing, however, the project appears to meet the general eligibility requirements of the housing subsidy program, is financially feasible, and is proposed on a site that is appropriate for residential development.

The developers are also likely to face an uphill battle in the court of public opinion –

Development is never favored in the court of public opinion of rich towns; only poor towns want to bring in construction and revenue. 

As discussed in earlier parts of this post, Milton has some of that Bostonian-style density in the areas close to Mattapan (now all zoned Residential C), but the farther south one goes from Mattapan Square, the bigger the lots, the lower the density, and the less affordability – and the Milton Mews location is in the less-developed and higher-value part of town: 

In addition, the developers must also contend with the residents of Hemenway Drive, who have put together an entire binder full of information, complete with maps, charts, and other pertinent documents that outline their chief concerns, including traffic impacts on Route 138.

route_138_milton

And think of the bicyclists!

Route 138 northbound, entering Milton

Remember, Hemenway Road is proposed only as supplemental access, not principal access.

Plans presented by the developer, Mill Creek Residential Trust, included Hemenway Drive as a potential emergency access road.

That’s potential emergency access, not regular access.

For local opponents of development, the traffic argument is the most beautiful to use, because it is infinitely renewable, it can never be categorically disproven (as it relates to the future), and, very occasionally, it might be right:

More than 130 residents came before selectmen Thursday night to protest the Mill Creek Residential Trust Milton Mews project on Brush Hill Road.

Yet the opponents occasionally reveal their prejudices when they go over the top:

Christine Seidman, a Milton resident and Harvard Medical School professor, said increased traffic could endanger seniors suffering from cardiovascular disease by delaying ambulances.

christine_seidman

Seidman is only worried about the elderly, nothing more

Save the elderly!  Keep traffic clear!

ambulance_in_traffic_jam

So it’s Pakistan … it could happen here!

MassHousing’s eligibility letter did mention Hemenway Drive in its recommendations section, stating that emergency officials had raised questions about emergency access and that the developer would have to “clarify legal rights in and obligations relative to” Hemenway Drive.

If indeed the traffic volume were to rise dramatically, Milton’s roads (Route 138 and Route 28) seemingly could be upgraded to handle the traffic:

route_28_milton

Route 28 in Milton, looking north (Prudential Tower in the distance)

But if access is the solution … why that creates its own problem for the developers to solve!

[Continued tomorrow in Part 4.]

 

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Milton’s paradise lost? Part 2: You will be hard pressed

October 20, 2014 | Affordable Housing, Boston, Chapter 40B, Cities, Development, Homeownership, Housing, Inclusionary zoning, Milton, Rental, Zoning | No comments 45 views

By: David A. Smith


[Continued from Friday's Part 1.]

“We know no time when we were not as now.”
John Milton, Paradise Lost

As we saw in yesterday’s Part 1, the Town of Milton is currently grappling with the challenge of preparing, approving, and then submitting to DHCD a Housing Production Plan, in hopes that DHCD will approve the plan to produce more housing in general, and thereby enable Milton to stop the production of more affordable housing in specific, by defeating or delaying the many development proposals pending before the Milton’s Planning Board.

Sources used in this post

Milton’s 2002 zoning map; pdf

Karen Sunnarborg housing study of Milton (February, 2006, pdf; green font)

Chapter 40B fact sheet, 2007; pdf

Boston Globe (June 21, 2012; deep purple font)

Massachusetts subsidized housing inventory (April, 2013; caramel font)

Boston Globe (March 22, 2013; powder-blue font)

MyTownMatters blog post (April 15, 2013; midnight blue font)

Canton Citizen (June 27, 2013; mumble font)

Boston Globe (August 21, 2013; olive font)

Boston Globe (October 31, 2013; pink font)

Canton Citizen, (November 14, 2013; red font)

Boston Globe (April 27, 2014; buff blue font)

Boston Globe (July 24, 2014; robin’s-egg-blue font)

Town of Milton draft housing production plan, September 25, 2014; pdf, orange font)

Boston Globe (September 11, 2014)

CHAPA’s Chapter 40B fact sheet, pdf

Even within the quirky communities of Massachusetts, Milton has its points of uniqueness, particularly its combination of a streetcar suburb bordering Boston along the Nepnoset River and an enclave of the horse-hiking, and homesteading set whose land use patterns are little different from antebellum New England.

milton_1858_statistics

Norfolk County statistics from 1858, included just for the heck of it

7,590 horses

18,851 cows and oxen

976 sheep

6,763 swine

94,448 people

2,656 people in Milton

The rural Milton is en-moated by natural and human barriers: the Blue Hills Reservation, the absence of Route 138 exits (except for Route 138, about which much later), the Neponset River and its magical public-transport-repellent properties.

sunnarborg_milton_map

Few ways in, few ways out

As the map shows, the commuter roads Route 128 and Route 3 (the Central Artery) skirt Milton: Route 28 goes through the town’s east side, and Blue Hill Avenue (Route 138) runs along the way, with the old Dorchester Railway line having been converted into the Red Line’s right-angle extension to Mattapan and Lower Mills.

Inside that conveniently under-accessible space are Milton’s 9,650 housing units, so to have 10% affordable housing, the town will need 965, and its current 4.5% translates to roughly 435 affordable housing units, leaving 530 as its deficit.  To boost supply one half a percent per year means adding 48 affordable homes a year, and if achieved, it would take Milton eleven years to get to its 10% minimum requirement.

In fact, available evidence suggests that Milton is actually shrinking its affordable housing supply, because population is level, the town is not building, and the town is becoming richer.  Statistics from 2006:

Milton is growing slowly, gaining only 996 residents [3% of population – Ed.] from 1990 to 2004.

Milton is becoming increasingly affluent. The median household income in 1999 was $78,986, up almost 50% from the 1989 median income of $53,130 and well above the median income for the Boston region of $55,200.

sunnarborg_milton_home_ages
A total of 259 new homes built in a decade

In the entire decade from 1990 through 2000, Milton built 259 homes.  Even if every single one of them was new, that’s an average annual supply increase of 26; and even if every single one of these new homes was affordable, that’s still less than half the rate required for Chapter 40B one-year safe harbor.

In fact, Milton hasn’t grown appreciably in fifty years:

milton_population_growth

Carefully not growing for five-plus decades

During that half a century, the relationship of suburbs to cities has changed dramatically, while Milton has been resisting that change.

3. The need

Massachusetts, like every urban or urbanizing political unit, has an ongoing chronic need for affordable housing; and because urbanization drives up land value, that need requires affirmative public policy.  Throughout the whole state, out of 2,692,000 housing units, 247,100 are in the Chapter 40B ‘Subsidized Housing Inventory (SHI)’, or 9.2%.

Only 43 (12%) have met the 10.0% threshold, and were it not for large leaders like Boston (18.5%), Springfield (16.2%), Cambridge (15.2%), Worcester (12.8%), New Bedford (11.8%), and Fall River (11.3%), our production would be sorry indeed.

Lest you think that the 10% standard is impossible to meet in Milton’s vicinity, consider Milton relative to all of its abutting communities, as drawn from the Massachusetts subsidized housing inventory (April, 2013; caramel font):

                                    Dwellings          Affordable        Percentage

Boston                         269,482                 49,971              18.5%

Canton                            8,710                       870              10.0%

Dedham                        10,115                    1,096              10.8%

Milton                              9,641                       426                4.4%

Quincy                          42,527                     4,089               9.6%

Randolph                      11,980                     1,288             10.8%  

Milton’s affordable housing percentage, even on the generous standard allowed by Chapter 40B (which counts all rental at affordable), is less than half any abutting community, and the evidence of Canton, Dedham, Quincy, and Randolph, suggests that all those communities used the goad of the Chapter 40B crowbar threat to find ways to produce the needed housing. 

Nor, sad to relate, is Milton Massachusetts’ worst offender.  In fact, it’s just about median: 166 of the 352 cities and towns that DHCD tracks (47%) have worse affordable-housing percentages than Milton, including my home town of Marblehead (3.9% affordable). 

Milton’s affordable housing shortage is no sudden phenomenon.  Milton has had this shortage for at least a decade (probably longer), to judge from the 2006 statistics:

·         Those living in poverty remain a significant population comprising almost 700 individuals and approximately 100 families and should have access to public assistance to meet their housing needs.

·         The population has remained predominantly white, but minority residents more than doubled from 6.2% in 1990 to 14.6% of all households in 2000.

·         The town’s aging population is decreasing somewhat, to 4,234 residents 65 years or older in 2000 from 4,512 seniors in 1990.

·         Population growth was highest in the 45 to 54 age range, suggesting that aging baby boomers will create a need for more housing that is smaller and easier to maintain.

The situation is no better today:

The [2014] housing production plan also outlined a stark picture of Milton’s neediest residents. Nearly one-fifth of local households were earning less than $35,000, compared with more than half who earn more than $100,000, according to the report.

The gap exists, and is widening, because of two factors distinctive to Milton:

milton_price_to_income_gap

The widening gap

1. Milton is two towns intermingled – one blue-collar urban, the other white-collar suburban verging on landed gentry.

2. Milton has been fiercely anti-development for half a century.  Perhaps it initially feared becoming another Boston, when in the 1950s and 1960s its southern and southwestern neighborhoods – Roxbury, Dorchester, Mattapan – had a big influx of ‘those people’, most of whom weren’t white.

The town has a negligible supply of purpose-built affordable housing.  The Milton Housing Authority owns 39 elderly one-bedroom apartments at 65 Miller Avenue, and 12 three-bedroom family apartments throughout the town, plus 144 Section 8 Housing Choice Vouchers, and the only affordable property in the town is Unquity House, 139 elderly apartments (probably Section 202) developed by Milton Residences for the Elderly, a local non-profit founded in 1968.

The result is a town whose housing stock is aging, whose people are aging –

fuller_village_residents_wellness

Residents of Fuller Village, Milton

The town also has a population comprising mostly families and senior citizens, with the latter segment projected to grow rapidly as the baby boomer generation ages. Coupled with high rents and rentals typically being in older homes, Sunnarborg said Milton hosts relatively few young adults and is not attractive to older folks looking to downsize.

– and whose inequality is rising, as natural forces of the market (scarcity of supply) and demography (people die) are changing the town’s income mix:

And Milton needs affordable housing, because its absence of new supply is slowing squeezing out the middle and lower classes:

Approximately 45% of Milton’s households do not have sufficient income to afford the median sales price of $460,000 as of March 2013, and about 34% of households cannot afford the lowest rent advertised for a two-bedroom unit of $1,600.  These high housing costs obviously have the most severe impact on those on the lowest rungs of the income ladder, but the effects of such high housing prices have spread well into the middle class. Clearly if you do not already own a home or are not earning a substantial salary, you will be hard pressed to purchase a home in Milton.

This is exactly the phenomenon Ms. Sonnarborg observed eight years ago:

Almost one-third of the total population five years of age or older moved to different housing during the last five years. Housing turnover drives up housing prices in an escalating real estate market, and typically the buyers are more affluent than sellers, fueling demographic changes in the community within a relatively short period.

The result is a town whose bottom quintile can live in Milton only because they have been living in Milton, and when they move, for economic or biological reasons, they will not be replaced:

The median home price in Milton hovers around $460,000, which would require an income of about $96,250.

Milton has few if any homes priced at $200,000 or less and accessible to those earning at or below 80% of area median income.

Milton, and towns like it, are the reason Chapter 40B exists – because natural land-use economics, coupled with normal human like-lives-with-like clumping, results in towns becoming exclusionary without having to vocalize the desire to do so.

Chapa_signpost_11

“If you don’t already live in this town, you probably can’t afford to.”

[Continued tomorrow in Part 3.]

 

 

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Milton’s paradise lost?: Part 1, A suburb of Boston

October 17, 2014 | Affordable Housing, Boston, Chapter 40B, Cities, Development, Homeownership, Housing, Inclusionary zoning, Milton, Rental, Zoning | 1 comment 138 views

By: David A. Smith

“What think’st thou then of mee, and this my State,
Seem I to thee sufficiently possest
Of happiness, or not?”
John Milton, Paradise Lost

Judging by their words as reported in a recent Boston Globe (September 11, 2014) article, for the happy residents, Milton is an Eden threatened by evil: threats are being mounted to traffic, to public safety, to town services, to the environment – why, the very elderly are in mortal danger.  What snake slithers around our paradise, seeking to ensnare the Miltonians in its coils?

sistine_02_adam_eve_serpent

It’s the knowledge of affordable housing

Sources used in this post

Milton’s 2002 zoning map; pdf

Karen Sunnarborg housing study of Milton (February, 2006, pdf; green font)

Chapter 40B fact sheet, 2007; pdf

Boston Globe (June 21, 2012; deep purple font)

Massachusetts subsidized housing inventory (April, 2013; caramel font)

Boston Globe (March 22, 2013; powder-blue font)

MyTownMatters blog post (April 15, 2013; midnight blue font)

Canton Citizen (June 27, 2013; mumble font)

Boston Globe (August 21, 2013; olive font)

Boston Globe (October 31, 2013; pink font)

Canton Citizen, (November 14, 2013; red font)

Boston Globe (April 27, 2014; buff blue font)

Boston Globe (July 24, 2014; robin’s-egg-blue font)

Town of Milton draft housing production plan, September 25, 2014; pdf, orange font)

Boston Globe (September 11, 2014)

CHAPA’s Chapter 40B fact sheet, pdf

Affordable housing, and the influx of ‘those people’ – and as has become my wont of late, this post will be comprehensive and multi-part, because the microcosm of Milton so perfectly and completely encapsulates all the forces of anti, and all the myriad stratagems they use to cloak their anti-ness in pro-ness of something else – and so much of it is in the public domain, that I and my faithful Google can piece together the whole temporal quilt, and find the image in the images.

michael_glove_montage

A thrillah in the making?

1. The issue

Milton mulls housing production plan

john_milton

They also serve who only sit and blog

‘Milton,’ it should be noted, is not a person, not an entity, but a political body with multiple heads (only a smaller number of them actually vote), and sloth and fear are always the incumbents.

By Jaclyn Reiss

September 11, 2014

This statement would be more compelling if Milton’s embrace of affordable housing was a new thing, a road-to-Damascus revelation, but in fact Milton (or more properly, its elected selectmen and the voters who come out to town meeting) has been fractiously and inconclusively ‘mulling’ more affordable housing while doing nothing about it for almost a decade.

entering_milton_closeup

Affordable housing not welcome here

Milton officials are mulling over a plan to introduce more affordable housing to the town –

Mulling would also be more compelling if the plan had, as Chapter 40 B requires, hard targets and firm commitments.

– amid a developer’s controversial Chapter 40B proposal for the former Hendrie’s Ice Cream site.

Nothing so concentrates the mind as the knowledge that new Texas-developer affordable housing is planning very high density development, and potentially there is nothing the town can do to stop it.

Filing a housing production plan with the state would give the town more control over projects proposed under the state’s Chapter 40B affordable-housing law, said state Senator Brian A. Joyce of Milton at a joint Board of Selectmen and Planning Board meeting last week.

brian_a_joyce

Senator Joyce is urging Milton to turn in its term paper, even if eight years late

Under the statute, developers can bypass some zoning bylaws in communities where less than 10% of the housing stock is considered affordable. Currently, Milton has about 4.5%.

It would be one thing if Milton were experiencing dramatic growth and expansion, and somehow the affordable housing had failed to keep up, but despite having been reviewing Chapter 40B and employing the indefatigable Karen Sunnarborg to produce revision after revision, Milton has experienced virtually no growth for at least a decade – the result, one must underscore, of an interlocking set of anti-development policies and circumstances – and Chapter 40 B has been around for multiple decades .

But if [x] the state were to accept Milton’s housing production vision, and [y] the town [were to increase] its affordable units by half a% of the total housing stock in a given year, “that would give us a one-year safe harbor to allow the town to say no to any 40B project that has not already received its site eligibility letter from the state,” Joyce said.

For a town to miss one year’s housing plan filing deadline may be attributed to carelessness; to miss a decade’s worth takes genuine avoidance – and invites the conclusion that Milton is slacking off mightily, hoping and expecting (alas correctly) that other neighboring communities (especially Boston) will develop affordable housing, leaving Milton untouched.

“It is a little embarrassing to say we want to have affordable housing in the town of Milton, but we have not been able to pass a housing production plan,” said Deborah Felton, executive director of Fuller Village.

A little embarrassing?

deborah_felton

A little embarrassed by her town’s lack of production

[One may judge Ms. Felton’s commitment in the context of Fuller Village’s strongly expresse4d opposition one of the potential affordable developments, Milton Mews, about which more below – Ed.]

Of even the ‘new’ houses, more than likely many of them are demolition/ rebuilding, so unless Milton is somehow going to quadruple its production, Senator Joyce’s idea is a pipe dream.

opium_pipe

I had colorful visions of affordable housing production …

… and then the opium wore off

If words were homes, Milton would be overhoused, as the town has been endlessly discussing its plan.  They discussed it in January; they discussed it in June.  They got nowhere, and as of this writing have no housing production plan submitted to DHCD, much less approved.

Before we convict the town of arrant hypocrisy and willful obstruction, we should start from first principles: Does Milton need affordable housing?  How did it get itself into having so little (roughly 4.5% of the inventory, well below half the 10.0% requirement)? 

2. The town

According to available information, including among other things an extremely thorough Affordable housing plan study by Karen Sunnarborg (February, 2006, pdf; green font) and the companion Town of Milton draft housing production plan, September 25, 2014; pdf, orange font), which the town is mulling.

Milton, in fact, is actually two towns mixed together;

escher_heaven_and_hell

A mixture of two things

1. A legacy streetcar suburb of orthogonal streets, small lots, modest houses, a commercial district, a spillover from larger Quincy (3½ times Milton’s population) and much larger Boston (24x Milton’s population).

milton_1858_large

Milton in 1858: note inset map of Lower Mills

The town of Milton has a significant historic heritage. It was settled in 1634 as an agricultural community. The colony’s first powder mill was constructed in 1674, and the town’s valuable water power sites and proximity to Boston attracted the necessary investment to develop 18th century Milton into an important industrial community and commercial trading center. The laying of streetcar lines transformed Milton into essentially the community it is today – a suburb of Boston.

milton_1858_railway_village

Milton’s Railway Village neighborhood abutting Quincy:

Distances measured in rods

Boston’s Dorchester neighborhood, just across the Neponset River, shows higher density, achieved by smaller lots, greater use of transit-oriented development (Dorchester was one of the original streetcar suburbs), and as a result, lower property values and lower household incomes.

milton_1858_lower_mills

Lower Mills, the Neponset, and the railroad

(Which a hundred-plus years later would become the Mattapan extension of the Red Line)

You are what you live in, and what you live in depends on what you can afford – and everybody instinctively knows this.

2. A rural throwback, with Curry College (founded 1879, 131-acre campus, 2,100 undergraduates), tiny Milton Academy (founded 1798, whose motto is “Dare to be true”), an honest-to-God ‘organic’ farm (on 160 acres), stone-walled roads, two-acre lots, and people who like their splendid isolation.

milton_academy_field_hockey

Ready for field hockey?

[Continued Monday in Part 2.]

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Stock-taking?: Part 2, “An unconfirmable plan”

October 16, 2014 | Bankruptcy, Bonds, California, Debt, Markets, Municipal bankruptcy, Pension funds, Primer posts, Stockton | No comments 134 views

[Continued from yesterday's Part 1.]

By: David A. Smith

jack_o_lanthern_04_teeth

Do I have your attention now?

Yesterday we saw, via simultaneous articles in The Sacramento Bee (October 1, 2014) and Los Angeles Times (October 1, 2014; navy font), that despite the City of Stockton’s willingness to keep paying CalPERS at 100% even as other creditors were taking big haircuts, one of those creditors objected, and the Federal judge correctly ruled that state law cannot pre-empt Federal law.

Predictably if understandably, the public employee unions and their members see this as a major threat:

As a result, Klein’s ruling reverberated throughout the legal world and among public employee unions.  Dave Low, chairman of a union-backed [Public employees’ union, SEIU – Ed.] coalition called Californians for Retirement Security said “the judge has sided with Wall Street in a decision that has the potential of devastating citizens, employees, and making bad situations worse.”

Those who lack law on their side tend to use the more colorful language, in hopes of distracting readers.

Stockton retirees called the decision a slap in the face.

barney_slap

Oh the humanity

“Employees operated in good faith,” said Anthony Delgado, a retired Stockton police officer who attended the hearing.

So did bond investors.

On the other hand, Dan Pellissier, a pension-reform advocate, welcomed the ruling. But he said Stockton, by sticking with CalPERS, is squandering an opportunity to reduce its pension costs and spend the savings on more police, firefighters and city services.

dan_pellissier

Pellissier wants Stockton not to squander its second chance

Until now, public pensions in California were believed to be off-limits, even if the government provider went bankrupt.

‘Believed,’ in this context, means ‘claimed by pensioners and their funds and never confirmed in any court.’

stockton_overpromised

$800 million underwater… probably worse

Lawmakers could scale back benefits, but only for newly hired workers, as the Legislature did last year. A bankruptcy judge did rule in Detroit last year that pensions could be reduced for existing workers and retirees, but CalPERS argued that ruling wasn’t relevant because there are additional protections in California law.

Notice how, for the public employee unions and their pension funds, every time they lose, that isn’t relevant.  Of course, it was, and I said so when it happened, as well as pointing my finger at CalPERS (December 4, 2012, Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, and Part 4).

four_culprits

Four parts, one culprit

City officials have said they have no choice but to stick with CalPERS.

Nonsense; there is always a choice, and it should be examined, and as neither the Mayor nor the City Council seem ready to do so, we can do it for them:

herman_kahn

Somebody has to think about the unthinkable

If it doesn’t pay the pension fund in full, default [to CalPERS] would occur –

Default to bondholders and other creditors has already occurred:

– and the city would either have to make a one-time payment of $1.6 billion to keep pensions whole or let CalPERS slash benefits by 60%.

stockton_city_council

The Stockton city Council (Mayor Silva fourth from the left)

Now we see how the system works: CalPERS operates like a piggy bank for municipalities that disconnects them from their pension obligations – and the idea that these obligations are sacrosanct becomes ludicrous. 

The city cannot impair pensions and continue to function as a city,” said Stockton lawyer Marc Levinson in remarks to the judge.

Sure it can, just as it can impair any other obligation. 

The result would be a mass exodus of employees, the city said –

Would it?  The market’s response depends entirely on supply and demand: of capital (for the bond markets) or of people (for the public employees).

– creating an enormous setback just as the troubled city, saddled with poverty and a high crime rate, is starting to get back on its feet.

If those employees leave, couldn’t Stockton hire others out of its 31,500 (10.7%) unemployed?  Or contract some city services to the private sector (like Camden did, and it’s working in Camden).

He noted that the city has already laid off about one-fourth of its workforce and rolled back salaries. The approximately 2,400 municipal retirees have had their city-paid health insurance completely eliminated. The city’s budget has been trimmed by $90 million a year.

Stockton is also raising taxes:

Last fall, Stockton voters approved increasing the sales tax to 9.0% – expected to generate $28 million annually – in order to beef up city staffing, particularly police officers.

Calfironia_sales_taxes_by_city

Remarkably, Stockton’s city taxes aren’t that high

That’s a valid (if questionable) political choice: bad for business, possibly shortsighted, but a valid choice.

“The retirees and the city’s employees have already given enough,” said Jason Rios, a lawyer representing retirees in the case.

Well, he would have to say that.

The average retiree gets a pension of $24,000 a year, according to Rios.  But some employees, particularly police and firefighters, get considerably higher pensions. A “midlevel sergeant” in the police force can expect a $68,000-a-year pension after putting in 25 years, according to city testimony.

I’ve reported elsewhere about the euphonious vesting provisions (two-and-half-to-twenty-five and so on) that result in employees retiring early with vast pension benefits due them.  They justified these benefits by saying that the pension fund could be invested well enough to pay for it – and that was if not a lie then a huge leap of faith. One that triggered a relentless, voracious hunt for higher yielding asset classes – and that triggered the global asset collapse we are still paying for. 

Everything connects to everything else, and when it comes to markets, if the reckoning isn’t today, it will be tomorrow, because markets always clear, even if their signals aren’t always clearly visible:

San Bernardino, the other California city in bankruptcy, actually suspended its payments to CalPERS for several months, and some city officials suggested they would fight CalPERS in court.  

Earlier this summer, San Bernardino worked out a settlement plan with the pension fund. The details haven’t yet been disclosed.  (But San Bernardino’s getting ready to sell weed, as I predicted many cities and states would.)

arnold_joint

Oh, man, I got so stoned I thought I was da guvanah

This must imply that CalPERS gave San Bernardino most of what it wanted, and CalPERS wants to keep that hushed up (which it can do because the bankruptcy is still pending).

The practical effect of Klein’s ruling is unclear. It depends in large part on whether Klein will accept Stockton’s financial reorganization plan – a plan under which the city promises to keep making its annual $29 million pension payments in order to retain its relationship with CalPERS.

If Stockton gets Klein’s approval and can resolve its bankruptcy without slashing pensions, the impact of Klein’s ruling is blunted somewhat.

The judge is giving Stockton a time out to rethink, renegotiate, and potentially to replan:

In declining to rule right away on the city’s plan, Klein said “I need to reflect more carefully.”

This isn’t about politics or sympathy, it’s about the law, because it’s in a court of law, and while the judge is doubtless hoping for Stockton to accommodate Franklin Templeton, political economy will likely mean that Stockton will wait until he rules before engaging in substantive negotiations.

“The city has now wasted millions of dollars attempting to cram down an unconfirmable plan,” Franklin’s lawyers argued in court papers. “The time has come for the city to abandon that foolish game, end its crusade, acknowledge its obligations under the bankruptcy code, and propose a realistic and reasonable plan of adjustment.”

Judge Klein will rule October 30, and if I know anything at all about bankruptcy, he cannot confirm the plan. 

jack_o_lantern_02_laughton

Actually, I’m not looking forward to it

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