Category: Speculation

The pay puzzle: Part 1, what should happen, executive level

28 January, 2010 (11:29) | Banks, Compensation, Regulation, Speculation, Subprime, Theory, US News | No comments

By: David A. Smith
 
With the economy in the tank and banks (including the Federal Reserve) making record profits, populist ire has settled on the bankers themselves.  
 

Were you paid a great deal of money?
Yes, we … uh …
Guilty!  Until proven innocent!
 
Deservedly so?  That question is implicit in a lengthy Steven Brill piece in the New [...]

Predictions for 2010: Part 3, housing and affordable housing

21 January, 2010 (12:13) | 2010, Finance, Housing, Predictions, Speculation, Tax credits, US News | No comments

By: David A. Smith
 
[Expanded greatly from State of the Market 23, available in the Recent issues section of the CAS Financial Web site.]
 
[Continued from yesterday's Part 2 and the preceding Part 1.]
 
What’s bad for production is good for affordability – isn’t it?
 
C. Housing and affordable housing, excess housing, enough affordability?
 
Housing both drives the economy (via [...]

Predictions for 2010: Part 2, US capital markets

20 January, 2010 (11:51) | 2010, Finance, Housing, Predictions, Speculation, Tax credits, US News | 1 comment

By: David A. Smith
 
[Expanded greatly from State of the Market 23, available in the Recent issues section of the CAS Financial Web site.]
 
[Continued from yesterday's Part 1.]
 
Yesterday’s potful of predictions focused on macroeconomic policy: Bernanke’s reappointment, rising US interest rates, lingering recession, surprisingly strong dollar, risks of sovereign bankruptcy, and capital markets around the world. [...]

Predictions for 2010: Part 1, global macroeconomic factors

19 January, 2010 (11:26) | 2010, Finance, Housing, Predictions, Speculation, Tax credits, US News | No comments

By: David A. Smith
 
[Expanded greatly from State of the Market 23, available in the Recent issues section of the CAS Financial Web site.]
 
If you thought 2009 represented ‘interesting times,’ wait until you see what 2010 has in store.  Bright spots are hard to find – but we’ll going looking, being mindful that the ways things [...]

Burying treasure

15 January, 2010 (11:31) | Global news, Kenya, Land Value, Markets, Nairobi, Piracy, Somalia, Speculation, Theory, Urbanization | No comments

By: David A. Smith
 
Pirates have a real estate problem and a capital problem. 
 

We’ve got the capital, now we need the real estate!
 
Like highwaymen (land pirates) and kidnappers (wilderness pirates), for their business they need a work environment of vast uncharted spaces and complete lawlessness – for which the high seas often serve admirably. 
 

We’re [...]