Category: Capital markets

A win is a win: Part 1, what happened

16 February, 2010 (13:07) | Bernanke, Capital markets, Federal Reserve, Housing, Inflation, Policy, US News | No comments

By: David A. Smith
 
It’ll go down in the box score as a line drive, baseball announcers chortle when a seeing-eye dribbler finds the hole between shortstop and third – as if claiming a base that way is somehow unmanly. 
 

Doesn’t look unmanly to me
 
Yet newly reconfirmed Chairman Ben Bernanke knows, as I wonder how many [...]

White snow, red ink, black swan: Part 2, unfortunately, you bought our never-pay policy

11 February, 2010 (10:39) | CDSs, Capital markets, Finance, Regulation, Snow, Speculation, United Kingdom | 1 comment

By: David A. Smith
 
[Continued from yesterday's Part 1.]
 
Yesterday, in our real-world metaphor for capital markets’ shenanigans, we encountered probabilistic meteorologist Cliff Bryant, who parlayed his interest in White Christmases into two tickets that, if honored as he thinks they should be honored, will be worth several million pounds.
 

Might two slips of paper be worth [...]

White snow, red ink, black swan: Part 1, you fool, you just won

10 February, 2010 (11:26) | CDSs, Capital markets, Finance, Regulation, Speculation, United Kingdom | No comments

By: David A. Smith
 
Want to bet whether it’s going to snow tonight? 
 

Odds of winning slim?
 
Every now and then, nature offers us a visual metaphor for an abstract principle of finance – so for our little tale of complex derivatives and interdependency among financial instruments, we need look no further than a heartwarming English tradition [...]

The biggest invisible stories of the decade: Part 7, effects not yet visible

13 January, 2010 (11:59) | Capital markets, Decade, Essential posts, Global news, Innovations, Regulation, Theory, US News | No comments

By: David A. Smith
 
 [Continued from yesterday’s Part 6 and the preceding and Part 1,  Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, and Part 5]
 
As 2009 opened, virtually the entire credit-crunch tidal wave had sloshed through the financial markets. 
 

At least we’re still here
 
Single-family home prices appeared to be bottoming, albeit at lower levels and with much [...]

The biggest invisible stories of the decade: Part 6, rule changes with the game in progress

12 January, 2010 (11:17) | Capital markets, Decade, Essential posts, Global news, Innovations, Regulation, Theory, US News | No comments

By: David A. Smith
 
[Continued from yesterday’s Part 5 and the preceding and Part 1,  Part 2, Part 3, and Part 4]
 
During 2007 and 2008, what we thought merely a sector-restricted problem became a full-blown crisis.
 

That water costs money, you know
 

This is a major, seven-part post, best read in order.
 
If you’ve just arrived, we recommend [...]