Billion-dollar Brooklyn: Atlantic Yards, Part 2, the benefits

November 29, 2006 | Uncategorized

[Continued from yesterday’s Part 1.]

What does the public get for Atlantic Yards?

Affordable housing:

Ratner is building subsidized housing in a city where there’s a cruel 3% vacancy rate.

 

 

101_dalmatians_cruella

“Let them eat rent stabilization!”

Increased real estate taxes:

He’s forecasting $1.5 billion in new tax revenues for the city [net present value over 30 years — Ed.] and 3,800 new permanent jobs.

 

 

Enjoy uncertainty

Our forecast is right, more or less

Forget the permanent new jobs; those projections are notoriously unreliable, subjective, and generally falling.

The project is planned to have 2,250 affordable apartments — 50 percent of the rental units. [Ergo, another 2,400 for-sale condo’s, now projected at 1,930. — Ed.] Affordable is one of the great weasel words of modern marketing, however, and the eligibility tiers that Ratner drew up with ACORN, the low-income-housing activist group, leave just 900 units for a family of four with an annual income of $35,000 or less.

 

 

That’s the very low income standard for New York City, truly deep affordability — but it’s roughly median for blue-collar Brooklyn.

Although 900 below-­market apartments are far better than nothing, just as many spaces are reserved for families earning $70,000 to $113,000.

5. What’s the relationship between urban development and the need for infrastructure? Development means more use. It stresses the municipal infrastructure.

Atlantic Yards’ inhabitants, renters and owners alike, could be occupying the densest residential space in the United States. Working with an average of 2.5 people per apartment, [blogger Norman] Oder points out that Atlantic Yards will have a population density of nearly 500,000 people per square mile.

 

 

If that figure holds, it will be the highest residential density ever recorded. The Lower East Side, circa early twentieth century, topped out at about 400,000 per square mile. Atlantic Yards is smaller, but still — it’s jaw-dropping density. What does it mean for the city’s transportation system?

 

 

The environmental report’s section on traffic predicts that 68 of 93 intersections around Atlantic Yards would be “significantly adversely impacted,” many permanently. That sounds unpleasant enough. But what’s “significant adverse impact”? The study defines it a couple of ways: “saturated conditions with queuing” and delays “greater than 80 seconds per vehicle.” Stand alongside an already busy intersection anywhere in the city; count how long a random car stands still — ten, perhaps twenty seconds — and watch what results: drivers piling up behind the stationary car, blowing their horns, yelling, as the line gets longer. Now picture cars delayed for 80 seconds, for hours on end, in front of your building.

 

 

If driving gets difficult, there is always the subway, with the property being located conveniently right over a subway station:

During nine years of living in Brooklyn I’ve gone out of my way to stay out of the Atlantic Avenue station, especially at rush hour.

 

 

Atlantic_avenue_subway_entrance

 

Ten subway lines, plus the LIRR, converge there, and the stairways are a claustrophobic multi­level tangle, congested at any hour, as are the trains that stop there. But here’s what the state environmental-impact report on the expected effects of Atlantic Yards says: “All subway routes through Downtown Brooklyn are expected to operate below their practical capacity in the peak direction in the 8–9 A.M. and 5–6 P.M. commuter peak periods … at completion of the proposed project in 2016.”

 

 

How much infrastructure stress is justified? How much stress will there be? Might the elected officials be estimating with rose-colored spreadsheets?

6. What’s the proper role of government? To start with, government has clear standing. It owned most of the land being assembled for the Atlantic Yards property. And one — other —-eentsy-beentsy — little power of government:

 

 

Little_bitty_lies

No really, we’re telling the truth

Eminent domain for economic development (ED4ED).

But a guy named Daniel Goldstein, a graphic designer who had bought a condo in a building on Pacific Street overlooking the rail yards, was alarmed when he saw one of Hagan’s THIS NEIGHBORHOOD IS CONDEMNED posters slapped on a lamppost. He tracked her down and learned that his building was right in Ratner’s path. Gradually, Goldstein became the spokesman for Develop Don’t Destroy Brooklyn, the group that’s sprung up over the past three years to coordinate opposition to Atlantic Yards. DDDB comprises 21 community groups, hundreds of active volunteers, and thousands of disparate, petition-signing, money-­donating supporters.

 

 

To create a large-scale property (like Stuy Town sixty years ago!), one has to assemble a large parcel, with ED4ED:

“I’m staying in this apartment to be a plaintiff,” says Goldstein, noting that the DDDB has hired eminent-domain lawyer Jeff Baker to fight on behalf of all 60 remaining footprint residents.

 

 

Jeffrey_s_baker

Baker’s against it

Foes of ED4ED like Ilya Somin argue that even without it, the ‘holdout problem,’ as Mr. Goldstein would probably be pleased to be known, is economically solvable.

 

 

Holdout

Without eminent domain, this could a problem

(FCR has bought out some residents already, at premium prices. Others are holding out.) Here, however, is another potential public-policy use for holdouts, if they choose to use it so:

“My home is gone. I’m staying because this project is wrong, our City Council has no say in it, I have more say in it, and I’m gonna use that.”

 

 

Veto_fingers

Veto power gives standing. Standing gives negotiating leverage. But wait, why didn’t the City Council weigh in?

Ratner has skirted normal city zoning approvals because the project is centered on state-owned land.

 

Albany is telling Brooklyn what to do. Aside from inverting one of the more common principles of development — locals know best — this doesn’t play well in Brooklyn.

 

7. How much input or control should the neighbors have? Like housing, cities are ecosystems, and in an ecosystem, everything influences everything else. At

some point, however, the influence becomes de minimis, not worthy of granting a veto or even an interrupt. So it’s a principle of zoning and urban approval is the radius of impact; abutters, or abutters of abutters, or possibly a little wider circle, have a say. Presumably the comment radius should make the impact radius:

 

 

Meteor_crater

Anyone inside the circle gets a vote.

Free assembly, and its Bill of Rights cousin free speech, knows no procedural boundaries:

 

There are, of course, those who don’t believe the hype. Just two days earlier, thousands of protesters gathered on the asphalt of Grand Army Plaza, under a broiling sun, to hear [Brooklynite] Steve Buscemi, local councilwoman Tish James, and the fiery leader of the Harlem Tenants Council, Nellie ­Hester Bailey, decry Atlantic Yards as undemocratic and grotesquely out of scale with brownstone Brooklyn.

 

 

Perez

Against
Thousands attended a July 16 protest rally at Grand Army Plaza, where Rosie Perez and Dan Zanes took the stage.

AP; Paul Martinka

What gives the public any standing in the matter?

[Continued tomorrow in Part 3.]

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